F-Divergence Robust Risk Toolkit

Course RMSC4102 – Risk Theory and Applications
Completed on
Project type Individual project

This project implements a robust risk assessment toolkit in R based on F-divergences. It reproduces and extends ideas from the literature and applies them in both simulation-based and practical examples.

Highlights

  • Implemented robust risk calculations under divergence-based uncertainty sets.
  • Worked with lognormal and Weibull reference models.
  • Studied applications involving inventory pooling, dependence modelling, and Hong Kong COVID-19 case counts.

Methods

  • Built functions to estimate worst-case expectations under divergence constraints.
  • Reproduced core experiments from the reference framework and extended them to additional settings.
  • Used simulation and comparative analysis to evaluate robustness under model uncertainty.

Findings

  • The project illustrates how divergence-based methods can provide a practical way to stress-test risk measures.
  • It also shows how robust procedures can be adapted to applied settings beyond purely theoretical examples.

Resources